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Tanner Hudson

Tanner Hudson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Tanner Hudson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1000/-1400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1350 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1400.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bengals may throw the ball less in this game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup quarterback Joe Flacco.
  • This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Bengals, who are giant -7.5-point underdogs.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 69.0% of their plays: the 2nd-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 64.8% red zone pass rate.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to have 130.7 offensive plays called: the 5th-most on the slate this week.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals have called the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 53.7 plays per game.
  • The leading projections forecast Tanner Hudson to be a less important option in his offense's passing game near the end zone in this week's game (4.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (11.1% in games he has played).
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Bengals grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year.

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