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Tanner Hudson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-150/+115).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The projections expect the Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.5% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Bengals are projected by our trusted projection set to run 67.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week.With a remarkable 85.1% Adjusted Catch Rate (78th percentile) this year, Tanner Hudson ranks as one of the best possession receivers in football when it comes to TEs.As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Arizona's group of safeties has been very bad this year, ranking as the 5th-worst in the NFL.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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This game's spread suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Bengals, who are a massive favorite by 7 points.Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.Tanner Hudson has played on 17.1% of his team's snaps this year, placing him in the 13th percentile among TEs.The Cincinnati O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
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