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Tanner Hudson

Tanner Hudson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Tanner Hudson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bengals to pass on 62.4% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Tanner Hudson checks in as one of the most reliable receivers in the league among tight ends, catching an exceptional 84.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 77th percentile.
  • The Miami Dolphins defense has been torched for the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (63.0) versus TEs this year.
  • This year, the poor Miami Dolphins pass defense has given up a massive 78.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 7th-biggest rate in the NFL.
  • The Miami defensive ends profile as the worst group of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests a running game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bengals are predicted by the projection model to call just 61.2 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Miami Dolphins, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.1 per game) this year.
  • With a high 16.4% snap rate (11th percentile) this year, Tanner Hudson ranks as one of the running backs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Bengals ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.

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