Tanner Hudson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Tanner Hudson

NFL · Player Props

Tanner Hudson

TE · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Houston Texans · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 6:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Tanner Hudson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may slide.
Tanner Hudson has garnered a whopping 9.6% of his team's air yards this year: 78th percentile when it comes to TEs.
With a RATE1-RATE2 point surge in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) from last season to this one, Tanner Hudson has been more prominently used in his offense's passing offense.
This year, the feeble Texans defense has conceded a massive 61.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the 6th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Bengals.
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Houston's unit has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 10th-best in the league.

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