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Tank Dell

Tank Dell Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

New York Jets vs Houston Texans

Tank Dell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-156/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -156.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to run the 9th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Texans this year (a staggering 61.4 per game on average).

The projections expect Nathaniel Dell to accrue 7.7 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Our trusted projections expect Nathaniel Dell to be a much bigger part of his offense's air attack in this week's game (23.3% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (17.1% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Jets, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.9 per game) this year.

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Houston Texans grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year.

Nathaniel Dell's pass-catching performance diminished this season, accumulating a measly 3.4 adjusted catches vs 4.5 last season.

This year, the stout Jets defense has given up a meager 56.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 3rd-smallest rate in the league.

When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, New York's unit has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.

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