My Account Log Out

reorder

Tank Dell

Tank Dell Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New England Patriots vs Houston Texans

Tank Dell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 62.8% pass rate.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see 127.8 total plays called: the 5th-most among all games this week.

The most plays in the NFL have been called by the Texans this year (a monstrous 63.2 per game on average).

In this week's game, Nathaniel Dell is anticipated by the projections to position himself in the 79th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.3 targets.

Our trusted projections expect Nathaniel Dell to be a more important option in his offense's pass attack in this week's contest (22.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (15.7% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a running game script.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Houston Texans profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.

Nathaniel Dell's 3.1 adjusted receptions per game this season illustrates a remarkable regression in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 4.5 figure.

Nathaniel Dell's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 61.4% to 55.5%.

More Tank Dell Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™