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Tank Dell

Tank Dell Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

Tank Dell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +113 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Houston Texans to pass on 59.5% of their opportunities: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The most plays in the league have been run by the Houston Texans this year (a massive 63.2 per game on average).

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.

Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Bills defense this year: 7th-most in the league.

With an impressive 4.2 adjusted receptions per game (80th percentile) since the start of last season, Nathaniel Dell has been among the top WRs in the league in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 122.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Nathaniel Dell's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 61.4% to 47.5%.

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Buffalo's unit has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

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