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Tank Dell

Tank Dell Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Tank Dell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Texans as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 59.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Texans to run the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Houston Texans have called the 6th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 60.0 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Texans, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers project as the 2nd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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