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Tank Dell

Tank Dell Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Tank Dell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -141 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Texans as the 10th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 60.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have 133.2 plays on offense called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Our trusted projections expect Nathaniel Dell to accrue 7.2 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.

Nathaniel Dell's 51.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 79th percentile for wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense last year: 7th-fewest in football.

Last year, the formidable Indianapolis Colts defense has surrendered a paltry 63.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 10th-lowest rate in the NFL.

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