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Tank Dell

Tank Dell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New England Patriots vs Houston Texans

Tank Dell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-137/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 55.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ +106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 62.8% pass rate.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see 127.8 total plays called: the 5th-most among all games this week.

The most plays in the NFL have been called by the Texans this year (a monstrous 63.2 per game on average).

In this week's game, Nathaniel Dell is anticipated by the projections to position himself in the 79th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.3 targets.

Our trusted projections expect Nathaniel Dell to be a more important option in his offense's pass attack in this week's contest (22.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (15.7% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a running game script.

After totaling 97.0 air yards per game last season, Nathaniel Dell has posted significant losses this season, currently pacing 62.0 per game.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Houston Texans profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.

Nathaniel Dell's 36.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year reflects a significant diminishment in his receiving prowess over last year's 66.0 mark.

Nathaniel Dell's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 61.4% to 55.5%.

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