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Tank Dell

Tank Dell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

Tank Dell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 43.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 41.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Houston Texans to pass on 59.5% of their opportunities: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The most plays in the league have been run by the Houston Texans this year (a massive 63.2 per game on average).

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.

Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Bills defense this year: 7th-most in the league.

Nathaniel Dell has put up a staggering 93.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 122.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Nathaniel Dell's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 61.4% to 47.5%.

Nathaniel Dell's 6.0 adjusted yards per target this season marks an impressive drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 8.9 mark.

The Bills defense has yielded the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 95.0) versus WRs this year.

The Bills pass defense has excelled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.24 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the fewest in the NFL.

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