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Tank Dell

Tank Dell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Houston Texans vs Miami Dolphins

Tank Dell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Houston Texans as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Texans to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 26.66 seconds per snap.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

Nathaniel Dell's 83.4% Route Participation% this season represents a remarkable gain in his pass game volume over last season's 72.0% figure.

The predictive model expects Nathaniel Dell to garner 7.0 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 80th percentile when it comes to WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

After accumulating 97.0 air yards per game last year, Nathaniel Dell has fallen off this year, currently boasting 76.0 per game.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Texans grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year.

Nathaniel Dell has accrued many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (44.0) this season than he did last season (66.0).

Nathaniel Dell's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 61.4% to 57.8%.

Nathaniel Dell's 7.4 adjusted yards per target this season illustrates a noteworthy drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 8.9 rate.

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