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Tank Dell

Tank Dell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

Tank Dell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league (61.8% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Texans.

The predictive model expects the Houston Texans to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 26.84 seconds per snap.

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 8th-most in the league.

Nathaniel Dell's 83.3% Route Participation% this season shows a meaningful growth in his pass attack workload over last season's 72.0% mark.

The projections expect Nathaniel Dell to notch 6.6 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 76th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.

Nathaniel Dell has put up significantly fewer air yards this season (72.0 per game) than he did last season (97.0 per game).

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Texans grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.

Nathaniel Dell has totaled a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (47.0) this season than he did last season (66.0).

Nathaniel Dell's pass-game effectiveness has diminished this year, accumulating a mere 7.54 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.93 figure last year.

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