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Tank Dell

Tank Dell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans

Tank Dell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Texans have called the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 62.4 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Nathaniel Dell's 83.3% Route% this year reflects a material progression in his passing game volume over last year's 72.0% rate.

In this game, Nathaniel Dell is forecasted by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 76th percentile among wide receivers with 6.9 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is suggested by the Texans being a massive 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Houston Texans to pass on 54.7% of their opportunities: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Dallas Cowboys, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (just 28.3 per game) this year.

After averaging 97.0 air yards per game last season, Nathaniel Dell has seen a big decline this season, currently sitting at 69.0 per game.

The Texans O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

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