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Tank Dell

Tank Dell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Tank Dell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 71.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 64.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 71.5 @ -123.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their normal game plan.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Texans to pass on 59.1% of their plays: the 7th-highest clip among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 129.4 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Houston Texans have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
  • The Lions defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in football (39.9 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Nathaniel Dell has notched far fewer air yards this year (67.0 per game) than he did last year (97.0 per game).
  • The Houston offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Nathaniel Dell's 46.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season signifies a significant decrease in his receiving skills over last season's 66.0 rate.
  • Nathaniel Dell's receiving effectiveness has declined this year, compiling just 7.79 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.93 figure last year.
  • This year, the imposing Detroit Lions defense has allowed the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a measly 7.4 yards.

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