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Tank Bigsby

Tank Bigsby Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Tank Bigsby Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+830/-1150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1100 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Giants defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
  • The model projects Tank Bigsby to be a much smaller piece of his team's run game near the goal line in this contest (2.0% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (45.8% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a massive favorite in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on running than their typical game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Eagles as the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Right now, the most run-focused offense in football near the end zone (53.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Philadelphia Eagles.
  • The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.63 seconds per snap.
  • Tank Bigsby has been been lightly used his team's passing attack near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 1st percentile when it comes to running backs.

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