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Tank Bigsby

Tank Bigsby Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Tank Bigsby Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+730/-850).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +760 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +730.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are expected by the projections to run 66.3 total plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • With an awful ratio of only 0.00 rushing TDs per game (1st percentile), Tank Bigsby places as one of the worst rushing TD-scorers in football this year.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 3rd-highest clip in the league versus the Chicago Bears defense this year (75.6% Adjusted Completion%).
  • This year, the weak Bears defense has allowed a massive 0.27 receiving TDs per game to opposing running backs: the 5th-largest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is suggested by the Eagles being a massive 7-point favorite this week.
  • The model projects the Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 52.3% red zone run rate.
  • The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Eagles this year (a measly 54.3 per game on average).
  • The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

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