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Tank Bigsby

Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Eagles being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to run on 48.6% of their plays: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see only 127.6 total plays run: the 3rd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • Tank Bigsby's rushing efficiency has gotten better this season, totaling 5.59 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a measly 4.75 rate last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles will be forced to start backup quarterback Tanner McKee in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 55.0 plays per game.
  • After comprising 46.0% of his team's carries last year, Tank Bigsby has been less involved in the ground game this year, now sitting at just 14.6%.
  • Tank Bigsby's 29.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year illustrates a meaningful drop-off in his running ability over last year's 53.0 rate.

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