Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Tank Bigsby

NFL · Player Props

Tank Bigsby

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 19, 2025

Updated Jan 12, 2026 12:42 AM UTC

Analysis

Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A running game script is indicated by the Eagles being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to run on 48.6% of their plays: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see only 127.6 total plays run: the 3rd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Tank Bigsby's rushing efficiency has gotten better this season, totaling 5.59 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a measly 4.75 rate last season.

Favors Under

The Eagles will be forced to start backup quarterback Tanner McKee in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 55.0 plays per game.
After comprising 46.0% of his team's carries last year, Tank Bigsby has been less involved in the ground game this year, now sitting at just 14.6%.
Tank Bigsby's 29.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year illustrates a meaningful drop-off in his running ability over last year's 53.0 rate.

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