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Tank Bigsby

Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-106/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Eagles to run on 47.5% of their downs: the 5th-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • Tank Bigsby's 6.0 adjusted yards per carry this year marks a remarkable boost in his rushing ability over last year's 4.8 rate.
  • Opposing squads have rushed for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in the league (144 per game) vs. the Bills defense this year.
  • The Buffalo Bills safeties rank as the 30th-worst unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 54.9 plays per game.
  • Tank Bigsby has been a much smaller part of his offense's rushing attack this season (10.3% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (46.0%).
  • Tank Bigsby has run for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (27.0) this year than he did last year (53.0).

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