Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Tank Bigsby

NFL · Player Props

Tank Bigsby

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 16, 2025

Updated Dec 20, 2025 10:02 PM UTC

Analysis

Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-128/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -146 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A running game script is suggested by the Eagles being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 48.8% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Tank Bigsby's running effectiveness has been refined this year, compiling 5.73 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a mere 4.75 rate last year.
Opposing teams have rushed for the 5th-most adjusted yards in the league (136 per game) against the Commanders defense this year.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.32 seconds per play.
Tank Bigsby has been much less involved in his team's ground game this year (10.8% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (46.0%).
Tank Bigsby has rushed for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (26.0) this season than he did last season (53.0).
As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Washington's group of DEs has been terrific this year, profiling as the 7th-best in the NFL.

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