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Tank Bigsby

Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-108/-116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 12.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a heavy favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to run on 51.9% of their opportunities: the highest clip among all teams this week.
  • The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Tank Bigsby's running effectiveness has improved this season, compiling 7.01 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a mere 4.75 mark last season.
  • With a fantastic record of 3.71 yards after contact (98th percentile), Tank Bigsby places among the strongest RBs in the league since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and play styles of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 26.68 seconds per play) will have the 11th-worst tempo out of all the games this week.
  • The 7th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Eagles this year (a lowly 54.0 per game on average).
  • Tank Bigsby has been much less involved in his team's ground game this year (10.8% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (46.0%).
  • Tank Bigsby's 21.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season reflects a meaningful decrease in his running skills over last season's 53.0 rate.

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