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Tank Bigsby

Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to run on 47.2% of their plays: the 5th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • Tank Bigsby's 7.0 adjusted yards per carry this season shows a meaningful improvement in his running ability over last season's 4.8 rate.
  • With an exceptional total of 3.71 yards after contact (98th percentile), Tank Bigsby places among the tenacious RBs in football since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the model to see just 124.9 offensive plays called: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 53.5 per game on average).
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) generally mean increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower ground volume.
  • After comprising 46.0% of his offense's rushing play calls last year, Tank Bigsby has had a smaller role in the ground game this year, now taking on just 11.7%.
  • Tank Bigsby has run for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (23.0) this year than he did last year (53.0).

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