Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Tank Bigsby

NFL · Player Props

Tank Bigsby

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 14, 2025

Updated Dec 9, 2025 12:57 AM UTC

Analysis

Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to run on 47.2% of their plays: the 5th-highest rate among all teams this week.
Tank Bigsby's 7.0 adjusted yards per carry this season shows a meaningful improvement in his running ability over last season's 4.8 rate.
With an exceptional total of 3.71 yards after contact (98th percentile), Tank Bigsby places among the tenacious RBs in football since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the model to see just 124.9 offensive plays called: the lowest number among all games this week.
The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 53.5 per game on average).
Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) generally mean increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower ground volume.
After comprising 46.0% of his offense's rushing play calls last year, Tank Bigsby has had a smaller role in the ground game this year, now taking on just 11.7%.
Tank Bigsby has run for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (23.0) this year than he did last year (53.0).

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