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Tank Bigsby

Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-148/+116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme running game script is suggested by the Eagles being a massive 7-point favorite this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Eagles as the 3rd-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.6% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are expected by the projections to run 66.3 total plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Tank Bigsby's 7.1 adjusted yards per carry this year indicates a substantial growth in his rushing skills over last year's 4.8 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Eagles this year (a measly 54.3 per game on average).
  • Tank Bigsby has been much less involved in his offense's ground game this season (12.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (46.0%).
  • Tank Bigsby's 23.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year conveys a material drop-off in his running proficiency over last year's 53.0 rate.

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