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Tank Bigsby

Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Eagles to run on 46.3% of their downs: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Tank Bigsby's running efficiency has improved this season, totaling 7.15 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a measly 4.75 mark last season.
  • Tank Bigsby has been one of the leading running backs in the NFL at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a stellar 3.71 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 100th percentile.
  • Opposing teams have run for the 6th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (137 per game) vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see only 126.1 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 9th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 54.3 per game on average).
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • Tank Bigsby has been a less important option in his offense's run game this year (13.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (46.0%).
  • Tank Bigsby has run for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (26.0) this season than he did last season (53.0).

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