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Tank Bigsby

Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to run on 47.8% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with worse passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and increased rush volume.
  • With a fantastic record of 4.98 adjusted yards per carry (90th percentile), Tank Bigsby ranks as one of the top pure rushers in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • Tank Bigsby ranks as one of the best RBs in football at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging an excellent 3.71 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while grading out in the 100th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have only 126.8 offensive plays called: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 5th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 52.9 plays per game.
  • Tank Bigsby has been a much smaller part of his team's ground game this year (14.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (46.0%).
  • Tank Bigsby has run for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (26.0) this year than he did last year (53.0).
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 6th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 93.0 per game) vs. the Lions defense this year.

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