My Account Log Out

reorder

Tank Bigsby

Tank Bigsby Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Carolina Panthers

Tank Bigsby Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars feature a new play-caller this year in head coach Liam Coen, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.2% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 6th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 62.1% pass rate.

The Jacksonville offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

The Panthers pass defense has conceded the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (88%) to RBs last year (88.0%).

The Panthers safeties rank as the 5th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL last year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are projected by the projection model to call only 63.3 total plays in this game: the 11th-fewest among all teams this week.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL last year, totaling a lowly 54.6 plays per game.

Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Panthers, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.9 per game) last year.

Tank Bigsby has been in just the 25th percentile for running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) with a weak 3.4 figure last year.

More Tank Bigsby Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™