Tank Bigsby Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Tank Bigsby

NFL · Player Props

Tank Bigsby

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Carries

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 17, 2025

Updated Dec 28, 2025 9:27 PM UTC

Analysis

Tank Bigsby Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-136/+109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +113 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Eagles to run on 47.5% of their downs: the 5th-highest clip on the slate this week.
The Buffalo Bills safeties rank as the 30th-worst unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 54.9 plays per game.
Tank Bigsby has been a much smaller part of his offense's rushing attack this season (10.3% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (46.0%).

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