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Sterling Shepard

Sterling Shepard Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sterling Shepard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+290/-540).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -335 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -540.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a -6-point underdog in this game.

The model projects the Buccaneers as the 6th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

After totaling 34.0 air yards per game last year, Sterling Shepard has been rising this year, currently boasting 45.0 per game.

Sterling Shepard's 33.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 25.6.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are projected by our trusted projection set to run just 61.2 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.

With an impressive rate of 0.00 rushing TDs per game (91st percentile), Sterling Shepard stands among the leading rushing TD-scorers in football among wide receivers and tight ends this year.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-lowest clip in football against the Lions defense this year (68.5% Adjusted Completion%).

The Lions safeties profile as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

More Sterling Shepard Player Props

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