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Sterling Shepard

Sterling Shepard Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers

Sterling Shepard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+270/-315).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +285 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +270.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 8th-most pass-centric team in football near the end zone (58.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The projections expect this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 7th-most plays in football have been run by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this year (a staggering 59.8 per game on average).

The projections expect Sterling Shepard to be a more important option in his offense's air attack near the goal line this week (16.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (9.1% in games he has played).

Sterling Shepard has totaled quite a few more air yards this year (46.0 per game) than he did last year (34.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.

Sterling Shepard has rushed for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest marks in football among WRs and TEs (91st percentile).

This year, the tough 49ers defense has given up a meager 0.60 passing touchdowns per game to opposing WRs: the 6th-best rate in the NFL.

More Sterling Shepard Player Props

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