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Sterling Shepard

Sterling Shepard Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Seattle Seahawks vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sterling Shepard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+405/-570).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -560 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -570.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.

The model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.2% red zone pass rate.

The Buccaneers offense has played at the 9th-quickest pace in football (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 27.75 seconds per play.

Opposing teams have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Seahawks defense this year: 5th-most in football.

While Sterling Shepard has accounted for 6.2% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much bigger part of Tampa Bay's offense near the end zone in this week's game at 11.9%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The receiving TD column reads "0" on Sterling Shepard's player page this year.

The Seattle Seahawks defense has yielded the 3rd-fewest TDs through the air in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.50 per game this year.

More Sterling Shepard Player Props

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