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Sterling Shepard

Sterling Shepard Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Sterling Shepard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+560/-970).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -690 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -970.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 59.4% red zone pass rate.
  • Sterling Shepard's 75.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this season reflects a material progression in his receiving proficiency over last season's 64.3% rate.
  • The Arizona Cardinals safeties grade out as the 7th-best group of safeties in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 4-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their standard approach.
  • At the present time, the 8th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
  • Sterling Shepard grades out in the 24th percentile among wideouts as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging just 0.08 per game.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 10th-lowest rate in the league versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year (68.7% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Cardinals defense has yielded the 7th-fewest receiving touchdowns in football to WRs: 0.64 per game this year.

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