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Sterling Shepard

Sterling Shepard Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Rams vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Sterling Shepard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+570/-810).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -760 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -810.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buccaneers are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 62.2% of their chances: the 7th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Los Angeles Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (37.0 per game) this year.
  • After averaging 34.0 air yards per game last year, Sterling Shepard has made big progress this year, now boasting 39.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are predicted by the projections to call only 64.0 total plays in this contest: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Rams defense has allowed the 6th-fewest touchdowns through the air in the NFL to WRs: 0.60 per game this year.

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