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Sterling Shepard

Sterling Shepard Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sterling Shepard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-134/+124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -134 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -134.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a -6-point underdog in this game.

The model projects the Buccaneers as the 6th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

Sterling Shepard has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (74.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (62.9%).

Sterling Shepard's sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 64.3% to 70.6%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are projected by our trusted projection set to run just 61.2 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.

The Lions safeties profile as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

More Sterling Shepard Player Props

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