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Sterling Shepard

Sterling Shepard Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Sterling Shepard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+126/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -126 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 7th-most plays in football have been run by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this year (a staggering 59.8 per game on average).
  • Sterling Shepard has run fewer routes this year (74.0% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (62.9%).
  • Sterling Shepard's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 64.3% to 71.9%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.
  • This year, the daunting San Francisco 49ers defense has yielded a paltry 62.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 10th-lowest rate in the NFL.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, San Francisco's LB corps has been excellent this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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