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Sterling Shepard

Sterling Shepard Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles

Sterling Shepard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+111/-141).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -139 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -141.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Buccaneers being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The Buccaneers have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.2 plays per game.

Sterling Shepard's 80.8% Route Participation% this season illustrates a noteable boost in his air attack workload over last season's 62.9% mark.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing game stats across the board.

Sterling Shepard's 74.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents an impressive boost in his receiving ability over last year's 64.3% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers offense to tilt 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Josh Grizzard now calling the plays.

The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.1 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Eagles, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.2 per game) since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the fierce Eagles defense has allowed a paltry 60.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 2nd-lowest rate in football.

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