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Sterling Shepard Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

Sterling Shepard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+122/-142).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +170 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.3 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Tampa Bay O-line ranks as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Sterling Shepard's 74.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this season illustrates a meaningful gain in his pass-catching skills over last season's 64.3% rate.

The Saints safeties profile as the 7th-worst group of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Buccaneers being a huge 7.5-point favorite this week.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 53.1% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game against the New Orleans Saints defense this year: fewest in football.

While Sterling Shepard has earned 13.7% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much less involved in Tampa Bay's offense in this contest at 8.5%.

More Sterling Shepard Player Props

Sterling Shepard ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 14

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

Sterling Shepard Receptions
Player Prop Week 14