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Sterling Shepard

Sterling Shepard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Sterling Shepard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the projections to see 134.1 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
  • Sterling Shepard has gone out for fewer passes this season (74.2% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (62.9%).
  • After accruing 34.0 air yards per game last year, Sterling Shepard has shown good development this year, currently sitting at 41.0 per game.
  • Sterling Shepard's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 64.3% to 77.5%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
  • Sterling Shepard's ability to pick up extra yardage has diminished this season, totaling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.09 mark last season.

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