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Sterling Shepard

Sterling Shepard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sterling Shepard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a -6-point underdog in this game.

The model projects the Buccaneers as the 6th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

Sterling Shepard has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (74.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (62.9%).

After totaling 34.0 air yards per game last year, Sterling Shepard has been rising this year, currently boasting 45.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are projected by our trusted projection set to run just 61.2 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.

Sterling Shepard's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year conveys a remarkable decline in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 3.1% rate.

The Lions safeties profile as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

More Sterling Shepard Player Props

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