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Sterling Shepard

Sterling Shepard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers

Sterling Shepard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-110/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 7th-most plays in football have been run by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this year (a staggering 59.8 per game on average).

Sterling Shepard has run fewer routes this year (74.0% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (62.9%).

Sterling Shepard has totaled quite a few more air yards this year (46.0 per game) than he did last year (34.0 per game).

Sterling Shepard's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 64.3% to 71.9%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.

Sterling Shepard's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents a material regression in his efficiency in space over last year's 3.1% rate.

This year, the formidable 49ers defense has conceded a measly 130.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the 8th-best in the league.

This year, the daunting San Francisco 49ers defense has yielded a paltry 62.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 10th-lowest rate in the NFL.

When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, San Francisco's LB corps has been excellent this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

More Sterling Shepard Player Props

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