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Sterling Shepard

Sterling Shepard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Sterling Shepard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Buccaneers being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The Buccaneers have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.2 plays per game.
  • Sterling Shepard's 80.8% Route Participation% this season illustrates a noteable boost in his air attack workload over last season's 62.9% mark.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Sterling Shepard has compiled many more adjusted receiving yards per game (38.0) this season than he did last season (27.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers offense to tilt 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Josh Grizzard now calling the plays.
  • The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.1 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Eagles, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.2 per game) since the start of last season.
  • Sterling Shepard's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows a noteable decline in his efficiency in space over last season's 3.1% figure.
  • Since the start of last season, the fierce Eagles defense has allowed a paltry 60.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 2nd-lowest rate in football.

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