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Sterling Shepard

Sterling Shepard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Houston Texans vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sterling Shepard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-118).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (61.6% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.

In regards to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers grades out as the 2nd-best in football since the start of last season.

The Texans safeties rank as the worst group of safeties in the league since the start of last season in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

With a subpar 7.1 adjusted yards per target (14th percentile) since the start of last season, Sterling Shepard ranks as one of the worst wide receivers in the NFL in the NFL.

With a feeble 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) since the start of last season, Sterling Shepard has been among the best WRs in the NFL in the league in the open field.

Since the start of last season, the stout Texans defense has given up a puny 59.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the best rate in the NFL.

Since the start of last season, the imposing Houston Texans defense has allowed the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wide receivers: a meager 7.6 yards.

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