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Sterling Shepard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

Sterling Shepard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-117/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -107 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -107.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.3 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

After accumulating 34.0 air yards per game last season, Sterling Shepard has gotten better this season, currently averaging 39.0 per game.

The Tampa Bay O-line ranks as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Sterling Shepard's 74.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this season illustrates a meaningful gain in his pass-catching skills over last season's 64.3% rate.

The Saints safeties profile as the 7th-worst group of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Buccaneers being a huge 7.5-point favorite this week.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 53.1% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game against the New Orleans Saints defense this year: fewest in football.

While Sterling Shepard has earned 13.7% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much less involved in Tampa Bay's offense in this contest at 8.5%.

Sterling Shepard's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows a material diminishment in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season's 3.1% rate.

More Sterling Shepard Player Props

Sterling Shepard Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 14

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

Sterling Shepard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14