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Sterling Shepard

Sterling Shepard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Sterling Shepard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Sterling Shepard has run fewer routes this season (74.0% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (62.9%).
  • Sterling Shepard's 75.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this season reflects a material progression in his receiving proficiency over last season's 64.3% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 4-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their standard approach.
  • At the present time, the 8th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
  • Sterling Shepard's ability to generate extra yardage has worsened this year, accumulating just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.09 figure last year.
  • This year, the stout Arizona Cardinals defense has conceded the 9th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing WRs: a paltry 7.7 yards.
  • The Cardinals safeties grade out as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

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