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Stefon Diggs

Stefon Diggs Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 22

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Stefon Diggs Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+225/-275).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -270 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -275.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Right now, the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense in the league (65.0% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Patriots.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
  • The New England offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Stefon Diggs's 85.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this year signifies a significant progression in his receiving prowess over last year's 73.7% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Patriots to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the New England Patriots this year (just 47.2 per game on average).
  • Stefon Diggs has totaled far fewer air yards this season (48.0 per game) than he did last season (64.0 per game).
  • Stefon Diggs's 44.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 53.8.
  • With an excellent ratio of 0.12 rushing touchdowns per game (99th percentile), Stefon Diggs stands as one of the best rushing TD-scorers in football among WRs and TEs last year.

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