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Stefon Diggs Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

Stefon Diggs Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+240/-275).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -260 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -275.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Patriots are underdogs in this game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach.

Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (64.1% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the New England Patriots.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in football.

With a high 18.0% Red Zone Target Share (76th percentile) this year, Stefon Diggs stands as one of the wide receivers with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the NFL.

When talking about pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Patriots to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Stefon Diggs has accrued quite a few less air yards this season (50.0 per game) than he did last season (64.0 per game).

Stefon Diggs's 45.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 53.8.

Stefon Diggs has run for 0.12 touchdowns per game on the ground last year (on average), one of the highest marks in the NFL among wide receivers and tight ends (99th percentile).

The Ravens safeties project as the best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

More Stefon Diggs Player Props

Stefon Diggs TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

Stefon Diggs Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16