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Stefon Diggs

Stefon Diggs Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Stefon Diggs Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+160/-210).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +184 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (60.0% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Patriots.
  • Stefon Diggs has been an integral part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 23.7% this year, which puts him in the 87th percentile among WRs.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Stefon Diggs's 85.5% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a substantial boost in his receiving talent over last year's 73.7% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • After totaling 64.0 air yards per game last year, Stefon Diggs has seen a big decrease this year, currently averaging 50.0 per game.
  • With a remarkable ratio of 0.12 TDs on the ground per game (98th percentile), Stefon Diggs stands as one of the best rushing TD-scorers in the league when it comes to WRs and TEs last year.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (61.7%) vs. wideouts this year (61.7%).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has conceded the 10th-fewest receiving touchdowns in football to wide receivers: 0.75 per game this year.

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