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Stefon Diggs Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons

Stefon Diggs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-121/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -121.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects Stefon Diggs to accrue 7.4 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 79th percentile when it comes to WRs.

As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the New England Patriots ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year.

Stefon Diggs's 86.3% Adjusted Catch% this season shows a substantial boost in his pass-catching talent over last season's 73.7% rate.

The Atlanta Falcons cornerbacks rank as the 5th-worst CB corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a 5-point favorite in this game.

The leading projections forecast the Patriots as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

At the moment, the 5th-most sluggish paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the New England Patriots.

Opposing QBs have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: fewest in the NFL.

Stefon Diggs has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (67.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (83.6%).

More Stefon Diggs Player Props

Stefon Diggs ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons

Stefon Diggs Receptions
Player Prop Week 9