reorder

Stefon Diggs Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots

Stefon Diggs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect Stefon Diggs to garner 7.2 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

The New England Patriots O-line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

Stefon Diggs's 86.9% Adjusted Catch% this season conveys a noteworthy gain in his receiving skills over last season's 73.7% mark.

The Tennessee Titans pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (75.3%) vs. wideouts this year (75.3%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Patriots, who are a huge favorite by 7 points.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New England Patriots to pass on 51.7% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

In terms of a defense's effect on pace, at 28.93 seconds per play, the model projects the New England Patriots as the 8th-most sluggish in football (adjusted for context) at the moment.

Windy weather conditions (like the 19-mph being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with worse passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased rush volume.

Stefon Diggs's 66.4% Route% this season reflects a substantial regression in his passing offense workload over last season's 83.6% figure.

More Stefon Diggs Player Props

Stefon Diggs ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 7

Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots

Stefon Diggs Receptions
Player Prop Week 7