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Stefon Diggs Receptions
Player Prop Week 23

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks

Stefon Diggs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

Right now, the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense in the league (65.0% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Patriots.

Opposing QBs have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.

This week, Stefon Diggs is expected by the predictive model to rank in the 90th percentile among wideouts with 7.4 targets.

The New England offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all passing game stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Patriots to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the New England Patriots this year (just 47.2 per game on average).

Stefon Diggs's 44.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 53.8.

Stefon Diggs's receiving talent has diminished this season, totaling just 4.3 adjusted catches compared to 5.7 last season.

The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (59.7%) vs. wide receivers this year (59.7%).

More Stefon Diggs Player Props

Stefon Diggs ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 23

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks

Stefon Diggs Receptions
Player Prop Week 23