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Stefon Diggs Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers

Stefon Diggs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-154/+138).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -154.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast Stefon Diggs to accumulate 6.9 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile among wide receivers.

The New England Patriots O-line profiles as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

Stefon Diggs's sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 73.7% to 85.4%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Patriots are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a running game script.

The leading projections forecast the Patriots as the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.6% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see just 125.1 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Los Angeles Chargers, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.2 per game) this year.

Stefon Diggs's 45.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 53.8.

More Stefon Diggs Player Props

Stefon Diggs ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 19

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers

Stefon Diggs Receptions
Player Prop Week 19